William Blair raised Quest Diagnostics (NYSE: DGX) to Outperform from Market Perform. The firm believes that the long-term fundamentals of the clinical laboratories sectors are still strong.
UBS upgraded Massey Energy (NYSE: MEE) to Buy from Neutral on valuation.
ArthroCare (NASDAQ: ARTC) was upgraded to Buy from Hold by Lazard, since the firm expects a small restatement while they believe a large restatement is priced into the shares.
Arch Coal (NYSE: ACI) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral by UBS.
Aetna (NYSE: AET) was initiated with a Buy by Banc of America, which believes the company will experience industry-leading member growth.
Banc of America initiated Wellpoint (NYSE: WLP) with a Buy rating, as the firm expects the shares to rebound from near trough valuations.
Wachovia (NYSE: WB) was reinitiated by Friedman Billings with an Underperform rating, as the firm expects the company to incur higher credit losses than the Street expects due to its outsized exposure to residential real estate.
Six Flags (NYSE: SIX) was started with an Above Average rating by Caris.
U.S. stock futures were mixed Thursday morning ahead of the government preliminary report of U.S. second-quarter gross domestic product to be released at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Compare to the first quarter, where GDP grew at an annual rate of 1%, analysts are expecting an annual growth rate in the second quarter of 2.3% according to Briefing.com. Another wave of earnings will also wash Wall Street over this morning, while it's still digesting Wednesday's ones. The market will likely take a clearer direction once GDP is out.
[Update: GDP grew at a 1.9% pace in the second quarter came in well short of the 2.3% forecast. Futures are declining on economy and the XOM miss. Wall Street will likely open significantly lower.]
Reporting/reported this morning:
Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) is expected to report second-quarter earnings before the open. If ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) and BP (NYSE: BP) results are any indication, XOM will likely post massive profits thanks to oil's skyrocketing prices and even break the record it has set for largest profit by a U.S. company. Analyst on average expect Exxon Mobil to earn $2.52 a share on revenue of $144 billion, according to a survey by Thomson Financial.
MasterCard Inc. (NYSE: MA) is expected to report earnings of $2.02 per share.
Kellog (NYSE: K) is expected to post earnings of 81 cents per shares.
After hitting a one-year high of $60.00 in December, the stock has hit a new one-year low today. This morning, AET opened at $36.98. So far today the stock has hit a low of $36.01 and a high of $37.99. As of 11:55, AET is trading at $37.29, down 2.50 (-6.3%). The chart for AET looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bear-call credit spread above the $45 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in six weeks as long as AET is below $45 at August expiration. AET would have to rise by more than 20% before we would start to lose money.
Coventry Health (NYSE: CVH) shares were down nearly 17% in after-hours trading Wednesday after the managed-care provider lowered estimates for second-quarter and full-year earnings due to disappointing April and May results. Wachovia downgraded CVH to Market Perform from Outperform. Other healthcare stocks felt the pressure and were down in after-hours or premarket trading: UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) -7%, Aetna (NYSE: AET) -9.9%, WellPoint (NYSE: WLP) -6%, Humana (NYSE: HUM) -5% and Cigna (NYSE: CI) -5%.
Carnival (NYSE: CCL) is due to report second-quarter financial results. Circuit City Stores Inc. (NYSE: CC) is due to release first-quarter financial results.
Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) is reorganizing its printer unit in the face of declining growth of the business, The Wall Street Journal reported. Basically, as consumers print less, H-P is trying to adapt and is reducing five business unitsto three.
Given the uncertain U.S. economic landscape, and accompanying choppy / consolidating market conditions, adding a few defensive plays is a prudent tack. Among insurers, Aetna Inc. (NYSE: AET) is worth an evaluation.
Aetna's wide product offerings and comprehensive coverage is an operational strength, as is its geographic footprint. These factors, along with cost controls, should enable Aetna to maintain solid earnings growth in FY 2008-FY 2009.
Further, analysts like AET's projected F2008 800,000-900,000 organic net membership growth in its health care segment, superior underwriting discipline, and cost controls. Another positive: on the big client side, the Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC) selected Aetna as its primary benefits provider for its employees, beginning in 2009.
Conservative social and political groups are vowing to fight the recent California ruling in which a republican-dominated court declared that sexual preference should not bar couples from legal marriage. In an Associated Press article, the court opinion is quoted as stating that "domestic partnerships that provide many of the rights and benefits of matrimony are not enough."
In pursuance of equal footing, gay, lesbian, and bisexual investors have been seeking and "outing" corporations with gay-friendly policies and have been backing those companies in a show of financial clout. An example of the application of this forward social dynamic would be Trillium Asset Management, which has at least once scored a "perfect 10" on the Gay and Lesbian Values Index (glvindex). With an investment focus called Socially Responsible Investing (SRI), this company seeks to provide investment returns in keeping with industry standards, while at the same time maintaining "unique focus on social research and advocacy."
Corporations that have taken careful strides to bring their standards up to date with regard to societal equality appear to be gaining in popularity with gay and gay-friendly investors, as evidenced by their placement on and recognition of the glvindex. SC Johnson acknowledged it's high ranking on the glvindex in a company press release that stated in part: "To us, diversity is about building the best, most talented workforce that mirrors the marketplace, and motivating them with an environment that enables people to be themselves and contribute freely and effectively."
Credit Suisse upgraded Aetna (NYSE: AET) from "underperform" to "neutral," according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that JP Morgan upgraded Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) to "overweight" from "neutral."
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
While kudos should be given to the Fed for trying to do whatever it takes to shore up the banking system, what is a bit more worrisome is how both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton approach the problem. Obviously they started out by blaming President Bush for these problems.
"Now we are in the soup and we better get ourselves out of it before the consequences get drastic," Democratic presidential contender Hillary Rodham Clinton told reporters. Barack Obama said: "History will not judge President Bush kindly for his failure to act in a way that could've prevented or alleviated this economic crisis."
Does Obama think that the President could have prevented the entire economic crisis, had he acted differently? In fact I postulate that one of the major reasons that Wall Street is in the current situation is because of a precedent taken 10 years ago by then Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin. He bailed out his Wall Street buddies after they were set to lose billions in bad investments in Asia, among other places. Go figure that after they get saved once, they go ahead a decade later and continue to make investments without taking into account risk. They knew that they could get away with it because they would get bailed out. And guess what? They are going to get bailed out.
The fact is that the Fed, by injecting liquidity, is doing exactly what it should be doing to try and get the banking system back on track. Many economists believe that had the same strategy been implemented in 1929, there never would have been a Great Depression. Back then they took money out of the system and companies went bankrupt. The Fed is making no such mistake this time.
Aaron Katsman is the lead Portfolio Manager and Managing Director of America Israel Investment Associates, LLC. and Senior Editor of IsraelNewsletter.com. DISCLOSURE: Writer's fund has no position in any stock mentioned, as of 3/17/08.
Not really surprising, but another step to Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL)'s iPhone global expansion. While investors would really like to see the iPhone released in China and India, Ireland and Austria are important steps in the expansion. Apple just released the iPhone into Ireland and Austria, pricing it €399 for the 8GB model and €499 for the 16GB unit. O2 and T-Mobile are the respective carriers. Mind you, this is just and official stamp as many have already bought unlocked iPhones there.
While peer-to-peer file sharing has been unpopular (to say the least) with internet providers as they tried to limit their use, Verizon Communication (NYSE: VZ) is set to announce Friday its plans to help its users share files faster - at least those who do it legally. Indeed, when an ISP cooperates with a file-sharing software it can speed downloads an average of 60% to six-fold. While it's not clear what the percentage of legal downloads are out of overall downloads, the cooperation can cut costs to Verizon, not to mention increase its attractiveness in the eyes of the consumer.
According to reports in The Wall Street Journal, Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) and Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO) executives met to talk about a potential deal for the first time since Microsoft's unsolicited takeover bid on Jan. 31. The execs, it was said, met without a banker, with the intention of Microsoft outlining its plan for the portal.
Yesterday was a difficult trading session for the managed healthcare group, with industry giant WellPoint Inc. (NYSE: WLP) cutting its 2008 profit forecast, blaming higher claims expense and the weak market conditions. Today is another tough day, with health care companies taking another hit on pressure from Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM), which warned about lower-than-expected first quarter and full year earnings results.
Blaming increased prescription expenses, the second largest seller of Medicare drugs cut its first-quarter earnings outlook to a range of 44 to 46 cents a share against its previous prior guidance of 80 to 85 cents a share. Analysts, on average, expected the health insurer show higher first-quarter earnings of 78 cents, according to Thomson Financial.
The company also projected full-year earnings between $4.00 and $4.25 per share, down from a previous forecast of $5.35 to $5.55. Humana's estimates were below analysts' expectations for full-year earnings of $5.47per share.
WellPoint (NYSE: WLP) stock is declining 16.7% in premarket trading after the health insurer on Monday cut its 2008 profit outlook. Higher costs and disappointing enrollment as well as worsening economic conditions were cited by the company as the reasons. Meanwhile, Aetna (NYSE: AET) shares are down 7.5% in premarket trading after it too gave a 2008 outlook below analysts' estimates.
Shares in Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK) are slumping nearly 5% in premarket trading after Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) said one of its key clients, which it didn't name, has cut plans for 3G phone making for March. While Nokia is TI's biggest client for mobile chips, Sony Ericsson is another. Still, some believe the customer could be Motorola Inc. (NYSE: MOT), which has been losing market share.
Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR) is set to post fourth quarter earnings today and is expected to report earnings of 47 cents a share.
Cognizant Technology Solutions (NASDAQ: CTSH) provides information technology consulting and technology services in North America, Europe, and Asia. Specialties involve business process consulting, custom systems development, data warehousing, customer relationship management, enterprise resource planning system implementation, and software testing services. The firm serves companies in the financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, retailing, telecommunications, and information services markets. The client list includes such names as Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD), Aetna (NYSE: AET) and Nokia (NYSE: NOK).
The Street was surprised earlier in the month, when the company reported Q4 EPS of 34 cents and revenues of $600 million. Analysts had been looking for 31 cents and $594.4 million. Management also guided Q1 EPS to 32 cents (32 cent consensus), Q1 revenues to at least $640 million ($632.24M consensus), FY08 EPS to $1.50 ($1.47 consensus) and FY08 revenues to at least $2.95 billion ($2.87B consensus). Stifel Nicolaus subsequently reiterated its "buy" recommendation on the shares and declared a $43 price target
With the presidential election, the topic of healthcare has been red-hot. And that's giving more visibility to eHealth (Nasdaq: EHTH), which operates a platform to allow individuals, families and businesses to purchase health insurance.
No doubt, it's is a good business. In Q4, eHealth posted revenues of $24.2 million, up 39%. Net income came to $22.4 million (which included a major tax benefit). Cash flow from operations was $7.9 million, up 61%. In all, eHealth has $121.5 million in the bank.
Basically, eHealth is a marketing powerhouse – and has been particularly skillful with online advertising and search engine optimization. That is, if you query popular healthcare terms on Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), you are likely to see links to eHealth.
The company is also getting lots of traction from major partners, such as Aetna (NASDAQ: AET). What's more, eHealth is expanding into new markets, such as with China and a new product for HSAs.
Interestingly enough, the slowing economy may be helping eHealth. How? Well, as people lose their jobs, they often need to buy their own healthcare insurance policies.
So far, investors are happy with the results. In today's trading, eHealth's stock is up 17.57% to $25.90.