bstocksdev

U.S. stock futures were lower this morning on fear Tropical Storm Gustav's path may pose a threat to refinery activity along the Gulf of Mexico coastline and some would have to shut down. Indeed, oil prices rose to above $117 a barrel Wednesday. Also in focus today is the upcoming durable goods order to be reported before the opening bell. Meanwhile, the FDIC is considering borrowing funds from the Treasury, amid an expected wave of bank failures. Nine banks have failed so far this year, and the number of troubled U.S. banks rose 30% to 117 in the second quarter.
[Update: Futures turned positive after durable goods unexpectedly gained.]

Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), which stocks jumped big Tuesday, both had several ratings cut by Standard & Poor's. Still, both stocks seem to continue their climb in premarket with Fannie shares up 7.5% and Freddie's up 10%. At least two analysts, from Citigroup and Goldman said Tuesday the situation isn't as bad as it may seem.

From financials to toys: A federal jury awarded Mattel Inc. (NYSE: MAT) $100 million in damages on Tuesday in a federal copyright lawsuit against MGA Entertainment Inc., the maker of the saucy Bratz dolls.

Moving to pharmaceuticals, Amylin Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: AMLN) and Eli Lilly & Co. (NYSE: LLY) shares are down 10% and 1% respectively in premarket trading after four more patients taking their Byetta diabetes medication have died. Baird downgraded Amylin from Buy to Neutral and cut its price target from $37 to $27. Soleil downgraded AMLN from Hold to Sell.

American Airlines, British Air and Spain's Iberia have signed a joint business agreement on flights between North America and Europe, American Airlines announced Thursday.

American (NYSE: AMR) added that the three airlines plan to file for global antitrust immunity from U.S. officials and will also apply from the same in Europe.

Under the deal announced Thursday, the three airlines will cooperate commercially on flights between the United States zone (encompassing Canada and Mexico) and the European Union (including Switzerland and Norway), while continuing to operate as separate, legal companies.

Analyst: 'an absolute, positive, must deal'

Stock Analyst C. Leonard Bauer told BloggingStocks Thursday rival competitors may argue that the deal will reduce competition internationally, but in Bauer's interpretation the agreement is "an absolute, positive, must deal," due to the changing nature of flight and air travel.

"The reality is, we're becoming a global travel marketplace, not just a national one, one that will eventually be accessible to everyone, and in this decade the key players will compete on transcontinental and global routes," Bauer said. "That means the carriers need global scale and the American-British Air-Iberia deal accomplishes that. It is an absolute, positive, must deal." (Bauer added that he does not have a rating on nor own shares in any airline. However, Bauer does have frequent flier miles/points in American Airlines.)

U.S. stock futures were mixed Tuesday morning following more negative news out of the financial sector: J.P. Morgan announced a $1.5 billion write-down, UBS a loss, while Wachovia and Morgan Stanley are dealing with auction rate securities. However, oil futures declined further to near $113 a barrel, offsetting financial sector woes and pushing stock futures higher. Russia halted its attacks on Georgia, signaling a cease-fire could come near.
[Update 9:09: Seems lower oil wasn't enough to offset financials' concerns and futures now indicate stocks could start flat to lower.]

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) said in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission that it suffered more substantial third-quarter losses related to the hard-hit mortgage sector than it did in the second quarter and had to take a $1.5 billion write-off on mortgage-backed securities and loans.

UBS AG (NYSE: UBS), one of the hardest hit banks in the subprime mortgage crisis, said Tuesday that it had further losses and writedowns of $5.1 billion during the second quarter of 2008.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) said late Monday that it will offer to buy back up to $4.5 billion of auction-rate securities from retail clients, following similar announcements from rivals. The broker also said it will make whole any losses suffered by retail clients who bought auction-rate securities through the firm and try to provide liquidity solutions for institutional investors.

Wachovia (NYSE: WB) said Monday it plans to cut 600 more jobs than it previously expected as it works to reduce expenses in the face of staggering losses tied to mortgage debt. It also revised lower its second-quarter loss by $500 million pretax due to auction rate securities settlements.

McDonald's (NYSE: MCD) was cut to Neutral at UBS, according to MarketWatch.

JP Morgan upgraded AMR (NYSE: AMR), Continental (NYSE: CAL), and US Air (NYSE: LCC) to Overweight from Underweight, according to Briefing.com. The news service also writes that Deutsche Bank downgraded Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) to Hold from Buy.

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) was started as Outperform at Bernstein, according to 24/7 Wall St.

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Several companies with single-letter ticker symbols currently offer potential for value investors, says George Putnam. The editor of The Turnaround Letter stock publication highlights a number of single-letter stocks that have been "beaten down pretty badly and now look particularly appealing." They include Agilent ('A'), Citigroup ('C'), Ford Motor ('F'), Kellogg ('K'), Macy's ('M'), NetSuite ('N'), Qwest ('Q'), Spring Nextel ('S') and AT&T ('T').
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What's holding the airline sector back, in addition to high jet fuel prices, and keeping the likes of AMR's (NYSE: AMR) American, Delta (NYSE: DAL), UAL's (NYSE: UAUA) United, Southwest (NYSE: LUV), and Continental Airlines (NYSE: CAL) from realizing their potential?

Many economists and analysts would agree that, along with other infrastructure and related investments, the nation's air traffic control system must be upgraded, if the United States seeks an air transportation system capable of maintaining a high level of safety -- and better service -- in the 21st century's more-crowded skies.

Further, that the United States has not already replaced an essentially generation-old air traffic control technology with a modern system is a serious demerit, and one that has -- through delays, cancellations, and other problems -- taken a toll on the flying public and the major carriers.

These are tough economic times for the nation, most would agree, and one hard-hit sector has been the airline sector, specifically the major carriers.

Surging fuel costs, the increased precautions and reviews required for the post-September 11 era, and intensifying competition for international routes has led to large losses among many major carriers - - a condition that has forced them to raise fares and implement other cost-cutting changes.

Most have also instituted a baggage fee for a passenger's second bag, with some carriers charging for all bags. Still, for the most part travelers have taken the baggage fees in stride. Although viewed as a nuisance by many travelers, the reality is a second bag, in particular, is optional weight that increases flying costs per mile. And with aviation fuel zooming past latte-price levels, that's no significant expense.

Still, US Airways Inc. may have gone one too far with the fee system. Effective today, US Airways will start charging for water on flights by coach passengers, The Wall Street Journal reported Friday (subscription required). Bottled water will be $2. Passengers flying first class are exempt from the extra fee.

Teva Pharma (NASDAQ:TEVA) upgraded to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank, according to MarketWatch.

American International Group (NYSE:AIG) Raised to Buy at Banc of America, according to 24/7 Wall St. The financial news site also reports Nike (NYSE:NKE) Cut to Neutral at HSBC.

UBS upgrades AMR (NYSE:AMR) to Neutral from Sell, according to Briefing.com.

Douglas A. McIntyre

Today was a clear win for the bulls, although the bears aren't forgotten by any measure. Oil fell another $4.00 today and to around $134/barrel. The CPI report also came in less timid than some PPI watchers were expecting, although it is still very high. Today's rally is probably more attributable to pricing action in banking and transportation stocks. Even the stodgy FOMC minutes didn't hurt today.

Below are the unofficial closing bell levels for index levels today:

DJIA 11240.02 (+277.48)
S&P500 1244.98 (+30.07)
NASDAQ 2284.85 (+69.14)
10YR T-Note 3.934 (+0.09%)
52-Week Lows
Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

Airline earnings came out very cautiously but not as bad as many would have guessed and didn't have the ring of any immediate death sentences for the industry. AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR), the parent of American Airlines, managed to post better than expected gains before items even if its losses were near $1 billion. Its shares were up over 33% at $5.90 in today's final minutes. This may have actually been the best day ever for major airline stocks.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• According to people familiar with the situation, the Wall Street Journal reported that Yahoo! Inc (NASDAQ: YHOO) is again talking to Time Warner Inc (NYSE: TWX), this time about taking over AOL, with Time Warner taking a stake in the combined entity. News Corporation (NYSE: NWS) has its eye on any Yahoo moves. Meanwhile, Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) is considering what its next move against Yahoo might be and is talking to News Corp.
• The Wall Street Journal also reported that, as part of the company's plan to cut costs, Tribune Co's Los Angeles Times newspaper may look to cut about 250 jobs, including about 17% of its news staff.
• The Financial Times reported that Chrysler, which has been searching for foreign partnerships, signed with China's Great Wall Motor a memorandum of understanding to explore long-term business ties in areas that include technology, distribution and components.

OTHER PAPERS:

• According to the Dallas News, AMR Corporation's (NYSE: AMR) American Airlines informed its flight attendants' union that is may lay off 900 flight attendants on August 31.

WEB SITES:

• Yonhap reported that LG Electronics will release "Dare," a new touch-screen mobile phone in the U.S. that will compete with Apple Inc's (NASDAQ: AAPL) latest iPhone models.

How would one describe today other than as a real disappointment? The DJIA broke 12,000 for the first time since March and the pressure here makes one wonder if that magic psychological level will hold. Oil was up over $136/barrel late in the day over strikes in Nigeria and lower inventories.

Here are today's unofficial closing levels:

• DJIA 12036.38 (-123.92)
  
• S&P500 1338.71 (-12.22)
  
• NASDAQ 2429.71 (-28.02)
  
• 10YR T-Note 4.154% (-0.071%)
• 52-WEEK LOWS
• Top 10 Analyst Calls

AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR) saw another drop of almost 5% by the final minutes, down to $5.42, after the company presented its estimates on fuel use, costs and hedges today at a Merrill Lynch Global Transportation Conference.

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Is Water the New Oil?
By 2030 nearly half of the world's population will inhabit areas with severe water stress. In the coming decades, as growing numbers of people live in urban areas and climate change makes some regions much more prone to drought, water -- or what many are calling "blue gold" --will become an increasingly scarce resource. Billionaire T. Boone Pickens thinks water is the new oil -- and he's betting $100 million that he's right. If he's right, T. Boone Pickens is a modern-day John D. Rockefeller. Pickens owns more water than any other individual in the U.S. and is looking to control even more.
There Will Be Water - BusinessWeek

US Air (NYSE: LCC) is the latest airline to cut people and routes. It is a wonder it took so long.

The news that another carrier was trying to save itself by chopping expenses was bad enough. Worse was news from the government that airline traffic is falling. According to the AP, "The Transportation Department's Bureau of Transportation Statistics said Thursday that U.S. airlines carried 0.4 percent fewer passengers in March, compared with the year-ago period."

The one hope that U.S. airlines have is that, as expenses rush higher due to increasing oil prices, passengers will continue to fly and pay higher fairs to boot. No such luck.

The news pushed shares in AMR (NYSE: AMR) down over 14% to $4.79. That is against a 52-week high of $29.32. AMR is considered a special risk for Chapter 11 because of the size of its debt-load.

Airlines have continued to expand capacity over the last several years as passenger demand has continued to move up. That trend looks awfully stupid now.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.