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J. Crew Group's (NYSE: JCG) stock is not a thing of beauty. The retailer's shares have been weak for a long time, and the latest quarterly numbers did nothing to change my mind about the stock's prospects.

For the second quarter, J. Crew, whose competitors include Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) and Gap (NYSE: GPS), reported a 10% increase in top-line sales. Not bad, I suppose. But I'll tell you what, there is some bad to come. Operating income went down 15%. Gross margin saw an unfortunate decline, dropping from 43.7% to 41%. And earnings per diluted share came in at 28 cents compared to last year's 32 cents per diluted share. That's a better than 12% drop.

Now, there is something to consider with the stats. The earnings release states that a systems upgrade in the direct-sales channel is affecting the results. In fact, there apparently were some costs related to the upgrades that were unexpected. Management says that this sum was equal to $3 million. In theory, these upgrades will help to position the company for long-term growth.

Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO), a retailer whose colleagues include Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF), Pacific Sunwear of California (NASDAQ: PSUN) and Gap (NYSE: GPS), issued its Q2 report on Thursday. The stock didn't do much after the numbers were made public despite reporting a very nice 21% increase in sales during Q2, and a whopping 63% jump in earnings per diluted share to 31 cents. Why such a blasé reaction? Well, the retailer was only able to match the expectations of Wall Street analysts, so that might offer some justification for the lack of a decisive bid.

I felt the same way after reading Aeropostale's earnings release as I did after perusing the stats behind GameStop's (NYSE: GME) recent quarter, thinking the company deserved at least a little excitement, especially when one considers that last year at this time, the mall chain saw a 4% contraction in same-store sales. Of course, there is one understandable difference between the GameStop situation and the Aeropostale scenario. GameStop's stock wasn't trading near a 52-week high, and Aeropostale's shares are. So, perhaps the market is perceiving that a lot of the good news is already priced in.

Aeropostale has done well this year. Its stock is up over 28%. Should that concern potential investors? Perhaps. After all, this is a mall retailer based on fashion and investors must consider that Aeropostale's current hot streak could cool. If that happens, the stock might end up retreating back to the lower end of its 52-week range. While there are any signs that such a retreat will happen, I only want to throw into the discussion the concept of fickleness among the youth.

If you really like Aeropostale and want to buy its stock, it might not be so bad to wait for a better price, in my opinion, to allow at least a little margin for error.

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

• Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF) posted solid Q2 results despite touch economic conditions.
• Apollo Management LP swung to a net loss on a write down and litigation, but is on track for an IPO.
• Cree Inc. (NASDAQ: CREE) beat analysts' expectations and raised its revenue guidance.
• Dr Pepper Snapple Group Inc. (NYSE: DPS) beat earnings estimates and raised its full-year guidance.
• 4Kids Entertainment Inc. (NYSE: KDE) widened its Q2 net loss more than analysts had anticipated.
• Kohl's Corp. (NYSE: KSS) topped Q2 expectations and raised its full-year guidance.
• Lions Gate Entertainment Corp. (NYSE: LGF) unexpectedly swung to a Q1 profit as revenues soared.
• Macy's Inc. (NYSE: M) beat Q2 expectations despite lower sales, and warned of weakness ahead.
• Napster Inc. (NASDAQ: NAPS) Q1 net loss matched the previous quarter and the year-ago loss.
• Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN) beat Q2 expectations despite a drop in earnings and lowered its guidance.
• Sirius XM Radio Inc. (NASDAQ: SIRI) CEO predicted post-merger earnings next year.
• Thomson Reuters Corp. (NYSE: TRI) Q2 profit fell while revenue soared, but still missed estimates.
• UBS (NYSE: UBS) dismal Q2 results were accompanied by speculation of breaking up the bank.
• Wachovia (NYSE: WB) revised its Q2 loss to include auction rate securities settlements.

Also, Jim Cramer warns against bearishness on the financials and also suggests that the collapse of commodities will buoy earings.

For more highlights from this week, see: Wal-Mart, JCPenney, MBIA, Deere, Applied Materials and others

Upcoming quarterly reports include Lowe's (NYSE: LOW), Home Depot (NYSE: HD), Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), Target (NYSE: TGT), La-Z-Boy (NYSE: LZB), Saks (NYSE: SKS), BJ's Wholesale (NYSE: BJ), Limited Brands (NYSE: LTD), Barnes & Noble (NYSE: BKS), Burger King (NYSE: BKC), Gap (NYSE: GPS), Heinz (NYSE: HNZ), and Intuit (NASDAQ: INTU).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

A hot retailer reporting a 4% drop in second quarter profit in the face of a 4% decline in same-store sales might not seem like good news but, in a very tough retail climate, it's a sign of how well Abercrombie and Fitch (NYSE: ANF) is holding up.

The stock's up more than 2% on the company's second quarter earnings, released this morning. The highlights:

• Revenue up 5% to $845.8 million.
• Abercrombie and Fitch same-store sales up 3%. abercrombie (kids clothes) SSS down 11%; Hollister down 9%, RUEHL down 22%.
• EPS down 1% to 87 cents on improved gross margins.

For a company to increase gross margins in the face of soaring commodity costs and timid consumer spending is extremely impressive, and a testament to the company's continued pricing power.

Investors have to be somewhat troubled by the performance of Hollister and the much-hyped RUEHL. Hollister may have been hurt because, as a lower-price point version of Abercrombie (Abercrombie won't call it that but that's what it is), its shoppers may be more sensitive to the economy. The huge plunge in same-store sales at Ruehl indicates that that brand might not have the great future people once thought it did -- but at less than 2% of the company's total sales, it won't drag anything down.

The stock has taken a beating with the rest of the retailers but, long-term, its prospects remain as strong as ever.

U.S. stock futures were higher Friday morning, indicating stock markets could possibly extend Thursday's rally as the dollar rose and oil prices fell further. The dollar continues to make gains on the back of growing evidence of global economic softness. Still, several economic readings are due out today, including the New York Empire State manufacturing index , capacity utilization and industrial production -- all before the opening bell.

Retail will be in focus today after two Kohl's Corp (NYSE: KSS) and Nordstrom (NYSE: JWN) reported late Thursday, and J.C. Penney (NYSE: JCP) and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) are due to report before the opening bell.

Kohl's Corp shares could start higher as premarket indication has them trading 2.3% higher, while Nordstrom's are trading 4% lower in premarket action. Kohl's quarterly profit fell 12% from a year ago, but the retailer lifted its fiscal year profit forecast. Meanwhile, upper scale Nordstrom, reported a 21% drop in second-quarter profits and cut full year outlook.

ANF said second-quarter profit fell on lower sales of jeans and T-shirts and forecast full-year earnings per share that trailed some analysts' estimates. JCP also saw profit decline but beat estimates and issued lower guidance.

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) shares are trading 10% higher in premarket action after the design software maker reported stronger-than-forecast second-quarter earnings Thursday after the close.

Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF - option chain) shares are tanking today after the company reported a 7 percent decline in same-store sales in July, much worse than the 1.4 percent decline expected by analysts. Apparently, suburban Moms and Dads decided that $100 jeans were not the correct place to spend their economic stimulus checks. Either that or they were finally turned off by the three-quarters naked models in the store windows. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on ANF.

This morning, ANF opened at $52.13. So far today the stock has hit a low of $49.55 and a high of $52.72. As of 12:50, ANF is trading at $49.55, down 6.18 (-11.1%). The chart for ANF looks bearish but S&P gives ANF a positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy ranking.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bear-call credit spread above the $65 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 4.2% return in six weeks as long as ANF is below $65 at September expiration. Abercrombie would have to rise by more than 20% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

ANF hasn't been above $65 since late June and has shown resistance around $56 recently. This trade could be risky if the economy stages a rebound, but even if that happens, the position above could be protected by reluctant shoppers who still have lingering worries about their wallets.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in ANF.

Analyst upgrades:

• Citigroup upgraded shares of Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) to Buy from Hold and raised the target price to $70 from $50 following AMGN's better-than-expected Q2 results and positive Dmab results.
• Credit Suisse upgraded Electronic Data Systems (NYSE: EDS) to Neutral from Underperform and expects the Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) transaction to close at the $25/share price.

Analyst downgrades:

• JP Morgan downgraded OmniVision (NASDAQ: OVTI) to Neutral from Overweight citing slowing growth and increased competition, as well as the impact on margins.
• Constellation Energy (NYSE: CEP) was downgraded at Lehman to Equal Weight from Overweight.
  
• International Game Tech (NYSE: IGT) was downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wachovia.

Analyst initiations:

• KeyBanc said Visa's (NYSE: V) strengths are its recurring revenue model, significant pricing power, no consumer credit risk, operating leverage, expense flexibility, and considerable free cash flow, among other reasons. The firm initiated shares with a Buy rating and $94 target.
  
• Regal Entertainment (NYSE: RGC) was assumed at Caris with an Average rating and $18 target. The firm sees tough comps ahead for the company and does not expect any meaningful price increases.
  
• Caris also initiated Marvel Entertainment (NYSE: MVL), as they are positive on the company's new financing vehicle. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $45 target.
• Goldman initiated textile, apparel and footwear stocks. Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO) and Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ: URBN) were initiated with Buy ratings, Lululemon (NASDAQ: LULU) and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) were started with Neutral ratings and American Eagle (NYSE: AEO) was initiated with a Sell rating.

Last week, I had a chance to talk to Rémy de Tonnac, who is the CEO of INSIDE Contactless. He was certainly upbeat. After all, his firm recently snagged an investment from Samsung Ventures America. In fact, some of the other investors include biggies like Nokia Growth Partners and Motorola Ventures.

Although, it's been a long journey. That is, INSIDE has been building its platform – which allows for contactless microprocessors – over the past ten years. But yes, things are starting to pay off.

INSIDE is focused on the so-called near field communications (NFC), which is a standard for mobile systems. Essentially, the technology helps facilitate mobile payments – which is likely to be a huge market.

However, for this to happen, Rémy believes that NFC must leverage innovation on the handset. For example, suppose you use your phone to pay for subway rides. So, wouldn't it be cool to receive an SMS message if your pass was about to expire?

Or, suppose you get an alert about a favorite band that will be in town next week. Perhaps you can get a video preview and, of course, buy some tickets?

"NFC can do things in a better way," said Rémy. "More importantly, it can also allow for new things – creating real value for consumers."

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Edgar Online Guide to Decoding Financial Statements. He also operates MergerBook.com.

Oil briefly rose to a record $139.89 per barrel Monday before pulling back after a fire cut North Sea output, Bloomberg News reported Monday.

Oil traded briefly at $139.89 -- an all-time high -- before pulling back to trade up $1.73 to $136.60 per barrel in Monday afternoon trading.

An field off Norway's coast was shut down after a fire broke out Sunday. StatoilHydro ASA's 150,000 barrel-per-day Oseberg oil and gas field off Norway's coast accounts for about 5% of Norway's output.

The other major energy commodities also rallied Monday at midday on the news. Heating oil jumped about 7 cents to $3.90 per gallon, unleaded gasoline added about 3 cents to $3.49 per gallon, and natural gas climbed 29 cents to $12.91 per million BTUs.

Oil market: Dueling arguments

Energy trader Jim Dietz told BloggingStocks Monday the oil market is "in a battle to define reality" between the oil bulls and bears.

Guess? Inc. (NYSE: GES) designs, markets, distributes and licenses a trendy, upscale collection of contemporary apparel, accessories and related consumer products. The company operates 391 retail stores in the United States and Canada and 607 retail stores outside of North America, of which 63 are directly owned. It also distributes products through department and specialty stores around the world. Competitors include Gap Inc. (NYSE GPS) and Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF).

Guess? surprised investors last week, when it reported Q1 EPS of 51 cents and revenues of $489.2 million. Analysts had been looking for 46 cents and $451.6 million. The CEO noted that international expansion continued to yield strong results. Management also guided Q2 EPS to 47-49 cents (47 cent consensus), Q2 revenues to $455-$465 million ($456.27M consensus), FY09 EPS to $2.40-$2.48 ($2.44 consensus) and FY09 revenues to $2.03-$2.08 billion ($2.05B consensus). Brean Murray subsequently remarked that the firm's projections remained conservative on a number of levels. Wedbush Morgan reiterated its "buy" recommendation on the shares.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Abercrombie & Fitch, China Unicom and Toronto Dominion were today's noteworthy downgrades:

• Friedman Billings downgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) to Market Perform from Outperform citing soft comps which could impact EPS expectations in 2H08 and SG&A investing.
  
• China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse and to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley as the company's phone asset sales garnered a lower-than-expected price.
  
• RBC Capital downgraded Toronto Dominion (NYSE: TD) to Sector Perform from Outperform citing expense initiatives in domestic retail banking which are hurting operating leverage, loan losses in U.S. banking, and muted capital markets revenues.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• William Blair cut Littelfuse (NASDAQ: LFUS) to Market Perform from Outperform.
  
• Linear Tech (NASDAQ: LLTC) was downgraded at UBS to Neutral from Buy.
  
• Abiomed (NASDAQ: ABMD) was lowered to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna.

Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) shares have been slipping some of late. Recent insider selling is also flashing a warning for this stock. Over the past three months, insiders have sold $59.0 miilion worth of ANF stock. Insider selling has slowed its pace over the past few months, but it is still happening. A filing released on Saturday indicated that a director at the company sold 7800 shares of ANF, valued at over $500,000. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on ANF.

After hitting a one-year high of $85.77 in October, the stock hit a one-year low of $66.05 in January. This morning, ANF opened at $72.72. So far today the stock has hit a low of $70.50 and a high of $72.72. As of 12:25, ANF is trading at $70.70, down $1.90 (-2.6%). The chart for ANF looks bullish but deteriorating, while S&P gives the stock a very positive 5 STARS (out of 5) strong buy rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bear-call credit spread above the $85 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. This particular trade will make a 6.4% return in three months as long as ANF is below $80 at August expiration. ANF would have to rise by more than 21% before we would start to lose money.

ANF hasn't been above $85 by more than a few cents at all in the past year and has shown resistance around $78 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in on 8/15) are a positive surprise, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance ANF might find at its 200 day moving average, which is currently around $77.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in ANF.

I know, I know, with the economy sputtering, why would you ever want to be invested in an apparel company that produces expensive jeans? Let alone have it recommended by a typically short-selling trader like me! But before I tell you the name of this stock that despite the obvious economic problems -- strong oil, weak housing and the dollar, mounting foreclosure, etc -- is sitting right near all-time highs, looking to break out, let's do a quick rundown of its competitors in the apparel retail space.

There's Polo Ralph Lauren Corp (NYSE: RL) and Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU), which after substantial runups and crushing drops off their highs, have been trying to find their footing. Then there are steady downtrenders Under Armour Inc (NYSE: UA), American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE: AEO), Pacific Sunwear of California (NASDAQ: PSUN), Liz Claiborne Inc. (NYSE: LIZ) and Bebe Stores (NASDAQ: BEBE). And last but certainly not least, the stock-that's-gone-absolutely-nowhere-for-the-past-six-years-meaning-its-been-useless-for-both-longs-and-shorts The Gap Inc (NYSE: GPS).

Some Tax Rebate Checks Hit Obstacles
To date, the IRS has issued nearly 30 million stimulus checks, totaling more than $27 billion. This is the first time the IRS has used direct deposit to deliver rebates - a step intended to quickly pump money into the struggling economy. But several problems have delayed the process.
Some tax rebate checks run into obstacles - USATODAY.com Some IRS tax rebate checks going to wrong accounts - USATODAY.com
Also: Errors Will Prevent 350,000 Households From Getting Child Credit in Tax Rebate Checks

Selling Off the Core Business
It was quite a surprise to some this week to hear that GE is looking to sell their signature product line --appliances. But, they aren't the first company to move away from their early roots. Here are some companies that decided to cut their roots-the products that fed their early growth to delve into other areas. Companies have mixed results when they stray from their original visions, sometimes stumbling to adjust and others morphing into better creations. Among the companies are IBM which sold off their PC unit, Corning and Corningware, Kodak and 35MM Film, Goodrich and tires and more.
Selling off the core business - BusinessWeek
In the News: GE Confirms It Is Considering Strategic Options for Its Appliance Unit

U.S. stock futures were higher this morning, looking to extend their rally, even though investors will likely not like the upcoming housing data, which probably isn't going to signal a bottom for the housing recession.

U.S. stocks had a nice rally Thursday as oil prices fell, several deals were announced, mainly CBS buying CNet, and Icahn moving forward with his proxy fight for Yahoo's board. The Dow industrials rose 94 points, or 0.73%, the S&P 500 added 14 points, or 1.06%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 37 points, or 1.48%. Thursday marked the fourth day of gains for the Nasdaq.

This morning, investors will be waiting for the housing data to roll in. Housing starts and building permits figures for April will be reported at 8:30 a.m. EDT. Both are expected to show further declines.
Also at 10:00 a.m. EDT, May University of Michigan's consumer confidence gauge for May is due. Economists expect it to decline marginally.

Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs helped lift oil prices this morning after it raised its forecast for oil to $141 a barrel. The forecast was raised 32% from $107 a barrel and is for the second half of 2008. Oil prices were back above $125 a barrel.