Posted Aug 16th 2008 12:40PM by Steven Mallas
Filed under: Earnings reports, Estee Lauder (EL), Revlon (REV), Avon Products (AVP)
Estee Lauder (NYSE: EL), whose colleagues include Avon Products (NYSE: AVP) and Revlon (NYSE: REV), ended the week on a great note. The stock rallied to a new 52-week high of $52.04 on Friday during the intraday session, and closed only several cents below that price at the end of the day. The catalyst for this stellar stock performance can be traced to the beauty company's earnings report, which was released earlier in the week.
According to SmartMoney, Estee Lauder saw top-line growth of 14% during the company's fiscal fourth quarter, with revenues coming in at roughly $2 billion. The bottom line increased 36% to $0.61 per share. Wall Street was only counting on $0.56 per share. So that's a nice $0.05 per share beat. The revenue number also went beyond expectations.
I like the results, and I like that Estee Lauder has been a particularly strong stock. According to the AOL Finance snapshot taken at the time of this writing, the stock has been up for every time frame (1-month, 1-year, etc.). Putting this fact together with the fundamental results of the quarter yields a situation that should be looked at. I don't like that gross margins declined, but I do find the stock appealing considering how bad the market has been.
Continue reading Estee Lauder looks interesting after making new 52-week high
Posted Aug 7th 2008 1:11PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: Rants and raves, PepsiCo (PEP), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Avon Products (AVP), Sara Lee Corp (SLE), Xerox Corp (XRX), Kraft Foods'A' (KFT), Personal finance, Workspace
In a conversation with an attorney friend of mine, who happens to be a woman, she asked for some general financial guidance. During the course of the conversation it occurred to me that women need to save more than men. There are many reasons for this, here are a few:
The first and most obvious reason women need to save more than men is that they live longer -- often without the support of a significant other. Living longer and living alone cost more money.
Second of all, women still do not have complete earnings parity with men. Some of this has to do with job type and some with history. But nevertheless, we are not there yet. If there is a 15% disparity, then a woman is starting at a disadvantage whether saving for her retirement in the future or for buying a gallon of gas today. This can only be made up by saving more and investing more. This is a worthy goal except that with less resources the difficulty is exacerbated.
Continue reading Three reasons women need to save more than men -- Seriously!
Posted Jun 11th 2008 3:45PM by Sheldon Liber
Filed under: Rants and raves, Cisco Systems (CSCO), Pfizer (PFE), Coca-Cola (KO), Exxon Mobil (XOM), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Adobe Systems (ADBE), Automatic Data Proc (ADP), Avon Products (AVP), Black and Decker (BDK), Chevron Corp (CVX), Costco Wholesale (COST), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Cardinal Health (CAH), Kraft Foods'A' (KFT), Politics, Suntech Power Hldgs ADS (STP), General Dynamics Corp (GD), Northrop Grumman (NOC), Raytheon Company (RTN)

For the first time Monday I heard John McCain comparing Barack Obama to Jimmy Carter. I had heard this before in other arenas, but not from McCain. I guess that despite these two presidential candidates pledging to the American people to bring change and resist politics as usual, they are both, as usual as one could get.
Obama is being shaped by the pressures of running for office and to believe otherwise is delusional. I suppose one has to have hope but the effects of the campaign are becoming clear. Obama has been painting McCain as an extension of Bush, which is nonsense, and now in a typical tit-for-tat response, McCain is filling the air with Carter references.
Both McCain and Obama are wrong in their assessments of their opponents and they are becoming commoners to resort to the bottom of the barrel campaign techniques used in every campaign for most of our nation's proud history. Obama gave up the high ground too easily and McCain has decided he can sling mud with the best of them.
Continue reading Are we in for Bush vs. Carter, and what stocks would fare better under each?
Posted Jun 6th 2008 1:02PM by Joseph Lazzaro
Filed under: Avon Products (AVP), Stocks to Buy
Readers of this space know that the investment bias is toward large-cap companies with demonstrated business models and a competitive advantage in established markets, preferably with a favorable global trend as a support. With this in mind, Avon is worth an evaluation.
For decades a door-to-door company,
Avon (NYSE:
AVP) has stepped into the globalization and digital ages, and the initial progress reports are positive.
Avon is the midst of a restructuring aimed at increasing efficiency and widening the company's sales venues. In its most recent quarter, Avon's North American region was a laggard, but its international business performed well, registering a 16% increase in sales, with double-digit gains from Central/Eastern Europe, and an impressive 29% rise in China. Further, in general, analysts were pleased with AVP's emerging market performance, citing brand building gains and an ability to attract much-sought, younger-adult women. As a result, AVP is on-track to meet analysts' 7-9% revenue gain for F2008.
Direct selling (5.3 million representatives) continues to be AVP's base, but catalogs, mall kiosks, a day spa, and a web site create a diverse retail presence.
All the while, Avon has also reduced its costs by initiating manufacturing operations in lower-cost regions of the world, and via sales force productivity increases. The company's expanded product base (cosmetics, fragrances, toiletries, jewelry, apparel, and home furnishings) is succeeding at widening its brand appeal across categories.
The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for AVP are $2.16/$2.57.
Continue reading Now, younger adult customers are starting to call on Avon
Posted May 29th 2008 11:09AM by Steven Halpern
Filed under: China, Newsletters, Avon Products (AVP), Eastern Europe, Stocks to Buy
"Beauty is as beauty does, the saying goes, and Avon Products Inc. (NYSE: AVP) has delivered a beautiful earnings report," says Jack Adamo in his industry-leading Insiders Plus. Here's his latest.
"Despite a 14% increase in advertising (or perhaps, because of it) the company delivered EPS up 26%. In North America, the only underperforming region, revenues continued their slow downward slide. But active representatives increased for the first time in ages, which may brighten the future on the company's home turf.
"International sales continued to soar. Latin America was 19% higher in local currencies, and 32% higher after translation into the American Peso, also known as the U.S. Dollar. In Central & Eastern Europe, first-quarter revenue rose 17% (6% in local currency). Revenue in China grew 29% (19% local). Only Japan dragged things down a bit with its 2% gain.
Continue reading Avon Products (AVP): A 'beautiful report'
Posted May 3rd 2008 3:40PM by Trey Thoelcke
Filed under: Earnings reports, Avon Products (AVP), Centex Corp (CTX), CIGNA Corp (CI), MasterCard Inc'A' (MA), Countrywide Financial (CFC), Office Depot (ODP)
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Countrywide, Visa, MasterCard, KBR, Office Depot and others
Posted Apr 30th 2008 10:36AM by Steven Mallas
Filed under: Earnings reports, Estee Lauder (EL), Revlon (REV), Avon Products (AVP), Procter and Gamble (PG)
Avon (NYSE: AVP) delivered not a bag of cosmetics to Wall Street, but a batch of growing earnings. Total revenues for the first quarter were up beautifully, rising 14% to $2.5 billion. Earnings per diluted share likewise did the double-digit-increase dance, rocketing 26% to $0.43.
Now, I would have liked the report a lot more if the company had indicated in its cash flow statement that everything was positive -- unfortunately, that was not to be, as operational cash flow was, in fact, negative. Avon needed to use $41 million for its operating activities during the quarter. Well, one thing I can say is that it's a lot less than the cash needed to fund last year's operations -- Avon burned through over $160 million in the comparable period. A check of the latest 10K shows that, while operational cash flow has been decreasing over the last few years, it has remained positive, so since this is the first quarter of the new fiscal year, we can wait to see how cash flow shapes up as the quarters go by.
Avon competes with companies like Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), Revlon (NYSE: REV) and Estee Lauder (NYSE: EL). As I've stated in the past, Procter & Gamble is more my kind of consumer-products business, but I'll give Avon its due since it does have a good product portfolio backing its brand and a devoted base of users. The stock is not too far off from its 52-week high as of this writing, and so long as it can keep sales growing and fight inflationary pressures, it should be a decent long-term bet.
Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned; positions can change at any time.
Posted Apr 29th 2008 8:25AM by Melly Alazraki
Filed under: Before the bell, Earnings reports, Apple Inc (AAPL), XM Satellite Radio (XMSR), Sirius Satellite Radio (SIRI), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Avon Products (AVP), CBS Corp 'B' (CBS), MasterCard Inc'A' (MA), Corning Inc (GLW), Countrywide Financial (CFC), BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Merck and Co (MRK), U.S. Steel (X), Valero Energy (VLO)
Before the bell: Street awaits Fed (V, DB, GM)Merck & Co. (NYSE:
MRK) shares are dropping over 8% in premarket trading after it said its
cholesterol pill Cordaptive failed to win approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, less than a week after it was recommended for marketing in the European Union. While Merck intends to submit more data to the FDA, it is unclear it will succeed given even some European doctors said more research is needed on one of the drug's main components safety.
Who said higher oil prices aren't good? If you ask Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:
RDS.A) and BP (NYSE:
BP), high oil prices are fantastic as the two oil giants
beat forecasts when posting quarterly earnings Tuesday, reporting that net income, excluding unrealized gains from changes in inventory values, rose 12% to a record $7.8 billion and 48% to $6.6 billion respectively. Shell shares are climbing 5.7% in premarket trading and BP's over 4.8% as it seems investors think oil above $100 a barrel is here to stay.
Archer Daniels Midland Co. (NYSE:
ADM), the world's largest grain processor, said
third-quarter profit rose 42% to $517 million or 80 cents per share, topping analyst estimates of 69 cents per share, as it traded more grains and crushed more soybeans. Sales climbed 64% to $18.7 billion. Seems that being in agriculture lately is a positive and ADM shares are rising 3.75% in premarket trading.
Continue reading Before the bell: MRK, BP, ADM, MA, CFC, AAPL ...
Posted Apr 12th 2008 9:40AM by Steven Mallas
Filed under: Estee Lauder (EL), Revlon (REV), Avon Products (AVP), Procter and Gamble (PG)
Revlon (NYSE: REV) issued a press release concerning its plans for a reverse split as well as some preliminary quarterly results. The reverse split will be based on a 1-for-10 ratio. Well, the company may increase the share price via this method, but it won't make much of a difference in terms of Revlon's potential as an investment.
The stock closed on Friday at $0.99 per share. Let me repeat this -- the stock closed on Friday at $0.99. We are thus talking about a highly speculative equity. Interestingly, if you take a look at the preliminary results, you might believe that Revlon is on the right path. Revlon's management expects a slight dip in terms of net revenues -- the top line will see about $320 million in the quarter versus nearly $329 million in the year-ago period. There will be a net loss of about $5 million this time around versus a net loss of over $35 million last year. Doesn't sound so bad, I suppose, especially when you consider that operating income should come in at $30 million -- that's ten times better than 2007's first quarter. So, would I buy Revlon?
No. I actually owned Revlon stock a few years ago, and I think I essentially broke even when I decided to get the heck out. Revlon has a long way to go before proving to me that it's got a handle on all its problems and that it can get its brand equity back on track. And this reverse stock split means nothing to me, as it doesn't alter the underlying fundamentals. Revlon faces tough competition from other brands, such as Avon (NYSE: AVP), Estee Lauder (NYSE: EL), and products from Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), so the company has its work cut out for it.
Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned here; positions can change at any time.
Posted Mar 5th 2008 9:20AM by Jim Cramer
Filed under: Coca-Cola (KO), Market matters, Avon Products (AVP), United Technologies (UTX), Cramer on BloggingStocks
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says investors should be negative, but they have to keep an eye out for rallies.Have you looked at the charts lately? I still carry them around and, frankly, have been reluctant to sit down and look at one after another the way Helene Meisler has for years and years.
But I have forced myself to do so since this year began just to remind myself that this bear market is a vicious one and you better have a darned good reason to buy a stock because you are most likely going to lose money otherwise.
The charts are amazingly bad. The vast majority of stocks are simply awful. You eliminate the oils, the golds, the ags, you have nothing, I mean, really, nothing. You can see that an
Avon (NYSE:
AVP) (
Cramer's Take) could rally or maybe a
Coke (NYSE:
KO) (
Cramer's Take), and you can make a case for the utilities to bottom on interest rate compares but that's really about it. The banks? They all look like they have no bottom.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The charts are amazingly bad
Posted Feb 9th 2008 9:40AM by Trey Thoelcke
Filed under: Earnings reports, Cisco Systems (CSCO), Time Warner (TWX), Walt Disney (DIS), Avon Products (AVP), Gannett Co (GCI), Electronic Data Systems (EDS), Activision Inc (ATVI), Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL), Las Vegas Sands (LVS), Unilever ADR (UL)
The earnings crunch rolls on, and here are a few of the highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Time Warner, Cisco, Gannett, Disney, EDS and others
Posted Feb 5th 2008 3:15PM by Steven Mallas
Filed under: Earnings reports, Avon Products (AVP)
Avon Products (NYSE: AVP) reported Q4 earnings today, and it looks like the Avon Lady has beaten Wall Street. Revenues for the quarter jumped a nice 17% -- got to love that. Diluted earnings per share dived 27% to $0.30, however -- that's not so lovable. Blame that dreaded cliche of earnings reports -- restructuring costs.
Avon's stock is currently trading up well over 5% as of 2:40 this afternoon. The company beat expectations of $0.28 per share. Avon saw a 20% increase in its beauty sales, an 18% increase in its beauty-plus category (that includes stuff like apparel, jewelry, etc.), and a 5% increase in its home products category. The number of active representatives also trended higher. Believe it or not, I buy Avon products every month from my friendly rep -- I can't live without its Advanced Techniques shampoos and its men's body washes.
The stock is currently trading at a decent yield -- approximately 2% -- and it does have a good portfolio of women's brands backed by the iconic Avon name. I'll be honest, though, and say that, when it comes to consumer-products companies, I definitely think of companies like Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG), Clorox (NYSE: CLX), and Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE: CL) first. At least those brands don't need representatives to push them. Still, over the long haul, Avon will probably reward patient shareholders.
Posted Feb 5th 2008 9:26AM by Allan Halprin
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), Apple Inc (AAPL), Cisco Systems (CSCO), Time Warner (TWX), Coca-Cola (KO), Toyota Motor Corp. (TM), Schlumberger Limited (SLB), Money and Finance Today, Altria Group (MO), Avon Products (AVP), Coach Inc (COH), News Corp'B' (NWS), QUALCOMM Inc (QCOM), UAL Corp (UAUA), Rio Tinto plc ADS (RTP), China Mobile Limited (CHL)
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Filed under: Avon Products (AVP)
Forget about being in the beauty business. This overhaul at
Avon Products, Inc. (NYSE:
AVP) isn't going to be pretty in the least. As part of its previously announced restructuring plan,
2,400 jobs will be cut and the company plans to save about $430 million per year. The plan will cost $530 million, with $460 expensed through the end of 2007 and the remainder being charged between now and the end of 2009. Additionally, the company's going to write of $110 in inventory as it says it's simplifying product lines by getting rid of low selling products.
This turnaround plan for Avon was announced in November of 2005 and is focused on creating efficiencies in the operation, thereby cutting costs. They're also focusing on the "career opportunity" for representatives and they're trying to make it more attractive.
Avon is one of the oldest multi-level marketing (MLM) companies around. It was established in 1886, a time when door-to-door sales were a common way of purchasing items that were needed. Over time, the business model has evolved to more of home party model and one-on-one selling that doesn't necessarily involve knocking on stranger's doors.
Continue reading Avon is restructuring, and it ain't pretty
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