Investment banks are beginning to rethink their commitments to doing business in Russia. The New York Times reports that many investors believe the risks of doing business in Russia are beginning to exceed the benefits. Maybe that is what Russia intends. Once western investors have put their money in, why not push them out and take their property?
Here are some examples:
Mechel - The Times reports that Vladimir Putin's criticism of the CEO of Mechel, a coal mining and steel company, wiped out billions of dollars of its stock market value
BP-TNK - The CEO and other western executives of BP-TNK, BP's (NYSE: BP) joint venture in Russia, were shoved out under pressure from the government and BP's Russian partners.
Declining stock market - The Russian stock market is down 25% in the last two months, alone.
Evaporating investment banking business - According to the Times, "Investment banking revenue from Russia was $148 million from mid-July to now. That is down from $260 million from mid-June to mid-July."
Russian business runs on different rules. News Corp.'s (NYSE: NWS) Rupert Murdoch, who has been doing business in China for years, is nervous about his Russian enterprises. This morning, the FBI announced it had rounded up a ring of data thieves, many from former Soviet Union countries. And then there's the little matter of BP-TNK, a joint venture between BP (NYSE: BP) and a Russian company, whose Russian shareholders are booting out its Western executives so they can take over the operation.
Here's what Silicon Alley insider reports Murdoch had to say about doing business in Russia: "We have great growing business there but just -- this is purely me, I'm sorry, I'm -- the more I read about investments in Russia, the less I like the feel of it. The more successful we'd be, the more vulnerable we'd be to have it stolen from us, so there we sell now."
In case you missed it, The Detroit Free Press reports that an international ring of data thieves used wardriving -- the practice of stealing data from unprotected Wi-Fi networks -- to take 40 million identities, use the information to print fake ATM cards, and steal millions of dollars. The corporate victims include customers of TJX (NYSE: TJX), Barnes & Noble (NYSE: BKS), and OfficeMax (NYSE: OMX). Five of the 11 defendants are from former Soviet Union countries -- "one is from Estonia, three are from Ukraine, and one is from Belarus."
After a day that saw U.S. equity markets decline in the neighborhood of 2%, U.S. stock futures earlier this morning pointed to a rough start Tuesday as well. News late Monday the Merrill Lynch said it's selling a big slice of its asset-backed securities and $8.5 billion in stock, renewed concerns over the financial sector health. But futures have started creeping upward, ahead of the latest readings on house prices with the Case-Shiller home price index for May and Conference Board reading of consumer confidence for July.
Meanwhile, we're still in the middle of earnings season and today
Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC), Viacom (NYSE: VIA), Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE: VLO), United States Steel Corp. (NYSE: X)
Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) will report after the close of tradin
The big story making headlines since late Monday is the bombshell Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) that it is taking an enormous $5.7 billion write-down on losses from mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) and plans to raise $8.5 billion. MER shares already dropped 11.6% Monday before the news was out, and while they're rebounding 2.75% this morning, many are very uncomfortable with Merrill's current situation and actions.
Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU), the French telecommunications giant, is finally getting rid of its CEO Patricia Russo and Chairman Serge Tchuruk who will both resign later this year. It's no surprise shares are rebounding over 6% in premarket trading. ALU also reported its sixth consecutive quarter of losses. Alcatel-Lucent reported a net loss of 1.1 billion euros ($1.73 billion) for the second quarter including an euro810 million ($1.3 billion) goodwill writedown.
For the most part, the IPO market has been a bust this year. But there are some bright spots – such as energy deals.
To this end, there was an interesting IPO filing this week: Brand Energy.
The company is a provider of multi-craft services for the downstream infrastructure space. Some of the offerings include: insulation, corrosion protection, weatherproofing, specialty coatings and so on. What's more, there are four major focuses: refining, Canadian Sands, petrochemical and power generations.
Brand Energy certainly has a sterling customer list, which includes biggies like BP (NYSE: BP), ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM), Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) and Chevron (NYSE: CVX).
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Norfolk Southern, OfficeMax and PetroQuest Energy were today's noteworthy upgrades:
JP Morgan upgraded Norfolk Southern (NYSE:NSC) to Overweight from Neutral based on leverage to export coal and the tighter truckload market.
Credit Suisse upgraded OfficeMax (NYSE:OMX) to Outperform from Neutral citing the company's clean balance sheet, positive cash flow, and limited downside.
UBS upgraded PetroQuest Energy (NYSE:PQ) to Buy from Neutral citing valuation and production catalysts. The company's target was raised to $30 from $25.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Piper Jaffray (NYSE:PJC) was upgraded to Market Weight from Underweight at Thomas Weisel.
Corning(NYSE:GLW) was upgraded at Merrill to Buy from Neutral.
HSBC lifted BP Plc (NYSE:BP) to Overweight from Neutral.
Calgon Carbon (NYSE:CCC) was raised to Hold from Sell at Morgan Joseph.
Citi Investment Research lowered it price target on Citadel Broadcasting (NYSE:CDL), according to the AP. The news service also reports that Moody's Investors Service lowered it rating on PMI Group (NYSE:PMI), cutting from "A3" from "Aa2."
Morgan Stanley downgraded Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) to "underweight" from "equal-weight" according toBriefing.com. The news service also reports that HSBC upgraded BP (NYSE:BP) from "neutral" to "overweight".
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
A loss of confidence in the government sponsored mortgage firms Federal National Mortgage Association (NYSE: FNM), or Fannie Mae, and Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (NYSE: FRE), or Freddie Mac, resulted in both companies shares plunging about 15% to 14 year lows. Because the two are the largest providers of funding for mortgages in the U.S., their troubles are significant as both may have to issue billions of dollars in stock to save themselves, diluting current shareholders, according to the Wall Street Journal.
For 75 years the NFL's Pittsburgh Steelers have been owned by the Rooney family, but that may now change as the Wall Street Journal reported that the family is seeking to sell the football team which is valued at about $1.2B. One potential buyer is Stanley Druckenmiller, a billionaire, and chairman of Duquesne Capital Management in Pittsburgh.
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown yesterday raised the issue of visa problems facing BP Plc (NYSE: BP) employees in Russia with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, but Medvedev did not make any concessions on the issue, according to the Financial Times. Some people have suggested that BP's billionaire partners in its Russian joint venture, TNK-BP, have orchestrated the visa problems in order to gain control of the venture.
In a cost cutting move, struggling automaker Chrysler said it will idle its St. Louis South minivan plant in October, and will reduce operations at its St. Louis North Dodge Ram pickup truck plant to one shift in September, the Wall Street Journal reported. About 2,400 people will lose their jobs at both plants.
In an unprecedented move, the Justice Department is pressuring UBS AG (NYSE: UBS), a foreign bank, for the names of wealthy U.S. client who used the bank to avoid paying taxes, reported the Wall Street Journal, and has sought a federal court order to proceed.
OTHER PAPERS:
After learning Moscow authorities have refused to renew the work visas of BP Plc's (NYSE: BP) expatriate staff, the New York Times reported that the British oil company may be in danger of losing control of TNK-BP Holding, its Russian joint venture. If the top officials from the BP side of the venture, including the CEO and CFO, are forced to leave, TNK-BP will fall into the hands of its Russian partners.
In an upheaval aimed at preventing too much power from being exercised by the company's chairman, the UK Times reported that UBS has decided to replace four board directors in October. The governance model, which will separate the roles and responsibilities of the board and executive management, will reportedly come into play immediately and will allow the board to delegate the duties formerly allocated to the chairman's office to board committees.
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Symantec, Cardinal Financial and BP Plc were today's noteworthy upgrades:
ThinkPanmure upgraded Symantec (NASDAQ:SYMC) to Buy from Accumulate based on improved execution, stable growth in core business, and ramping competitive position in some high-growth businesses.
Baird upgraded Cardinal Financial (NASDAQ:CFNL) to Outperform from Neutral based on valuation, the company's favorable credit risk profile in Northern Virginia, and its excess capital position.
Societe Generale raised BP Plc (NYSE: BP) to Hold from Sell as it believes the bad news is priced into shares and earnings could be better than expected.
OTHER UPGRADES:
Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) was upgraded at Merrill Lynch to Neutral from Underperform.
Jefferies lifted Hunsman (NYSE: HUN) to Hold from Underperform.
Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE:ALU) was raised to "neutral" from "underperform" at Merrill Lynch, according to24/7 Wall St. The financial website also reports that Whole Foods Market (NASDAQ:WFMI) was cut to "neutral" from "buy" at UBS.
Citigroup added Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) to its Top Picks Live list, according toBriefing.com. The news service reports that Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) was also added to the list.
Societe Generale raised its rating on BP (NYSE:BP) to "hold" from "sell" according toMarketWatch.
Chesapeake Energy Corporation (NYSE: CHK) is engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of properties for the production of natural gas and crude oil. The firm is the second-largest independent producer and third-largest overall producer of natural gas in the United States. Company properties are located in the US midcontinent region, along the Gulf Coast, in the Permian Basin, and in the Ark-La-Tex region. It owns interests in nearly 39,000 producing wells and has nearly eleven trillion cubic feet equivalent of proved reserves.
Chesapeake pleased investors last week, when it announced that it had formed a joint venture with Goodrich Petroleum (NYSE: GDP) that would give it working interests in deep strata of the Haynesville Shale of East Texas and Louisiana. The move is expected to make Chesapeake the largest U.S. natural-gas producer, pushing it past BP (NYSE: BP) and Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC).
Transocean (NYSE: RIG) is the world's largest offshore drilling contractor and a leading provider of drilling management services worldwide. The company owns, or operates, a contract drilling fleet of 138 mobile units, including 39 high-specification floaters, 29 midwater floaters, 10 high-specification jackups and 56 standard jackups. It operates in the world's major offshore oil-producing regions, including the Gulf of Mexico, the North Sea, Canada, the Middle East, Brazil, Africa and Asia. Chevron (NYSE: CVX), BP (NYSE: BP) and Petroleo Brasileiro (NYSE: PBR) are major customers.
The stock has been a steady gainer, since the January market downdraft, advancing on word of solid quarterly results, new and renewed contracts and optimistic analyst remarks. Essentially, a global shortage of deep-water drilling units has established a long-term, favorable pricing environment for the company.
As if this country doesn't have enough to worry about, now Donald Trump says that oil companies such as BP (NYSE: BP), Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX), and Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM) are ripping us off. According to a story from CNBC, Trump is calling for punitive sanctions against oil companies, citing their historic profit levels.
While calling himself a "great capitalist" and stating that it is against his nature to seek punitive sanctions against companies that are reaping big profits, Donald Trump indicated that it is his opinion that oil companies have been ripping off the world for quite some time. In a statement aired by CNBC, Trump said, "I can see doing something against the oil companies."
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says these stocks rise because they're doubly blessed. Integrateds fall because they aren't.
So many people have been puzzled why the major integrateds have not moved with the last $30 rally in oil's spot price. The answer?
They can't take advantage of it.
They either didn't believe, and therefore didn't drill, or they have been so in the crosshairs of sovereign lunacy that they haven't been able to. They didn't have the rigs or they judged that the rigs were so expensive that, like 1980, they would look like dopes when oil came back to $40-$50, where many thought it would. (Go back and check even last year's research for price targets, most of which were from the oil companies' themselves.)
Or maybe it didn't matter anyway. So many of the contracts these companies have signed with governments around the world are either being abrogated or just outright confiscated that you have to ask yourself "Who can invest under those scenarios?" Exxon (NYSE: XOM) (Cramer's Take) in Venezuela. Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) (Cramer's Take) and now BP (NYSE: BP) (Cramer's Take) in Russia. You can't continually invest billions and then write it off because the contracts you wrote don't mean anything.
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Investment banks are beginning to rethink their commitments to doing business in Russia. The New York Times reports that many investors believe the risks of doing business in Russia are beginning to exceed the benefits. Maybe that is what Russia intends. Once western investors have put their money in, why not push them out and take their property?
After a day that saw U.S. equity markets decline in the neighborhood of 2%, U.S. stock futures earlier this morning pointed to a rough start Tuesday as well. News late Monday the Merrill Lynch said it's selling a big slice of its asset-backed securities and $8.5 billion in stock, renewed concerns over the financial sector health. But futures have started creeping upward, ahead of the latest readings on house prices with the Case-Shiller home price index for May and Conference Board reading of consumer confidence for July.
For the most part, the IPO market has been a bust this year. But there are some bright spots – such as energy deals.
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As if this country doesn't have enough to worry about, now Donald Trump says that oil companies such as 
